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USA FluWatch.com Activity, Summers of 2002, 2003, and 2004
(Looking for Influenza outbreaks following June 2004 Venus Transit)

Installed on 22 May 2004. Latest update 12 Oct 2014.

Summer 2002 FluWatch.com summary
Summer 2003 FluWatch.com summary
Summer 2004 FluWatch.com summary

The graphs above show the running totals of the FluWatch.com [Site was discontinued in about 2005.] active zipcodes in the United States for the summers of 2002, 2003, and 2004. The Venus inferior conjunction/transit in 2004 was on 8 June. If there is to be a related outbreak of influenza, the prime time to look for it should be 30 to 60 days following the conjunction. That time period (8 July to 7 August) is shown on the 2004 graph in a lighter shade of grey. One or more influenza-like illnesses might make appearances as early as 15 days after the conjunction. That would correspond to June 23rd. See USA Influenza Activity 2003-2004 for a map which shows the locations of the currently active FluWatch zipcodes.

There was no apparent out of the ordinary FluWatch activity following the Venus transit. There was a mid-month surge in May 2004, but in the absense of further evidence it would be hard to relate it to the transit.

In July 2004, an outbreak of influenza A (H3N2) was detected at 3 Bhutanese refugee camps in southeastern Nepal. Hemagglutination inhibition showed that ≈ 40% of the viruses from this outbreak were antigenically distinct from the A/Wyoming/3/03 vaccine strain. See: Influenza A (H3N2) Outbreak, Nepal. This outbreak would not have shown up in the USA Fluwatch activity. [Added 12 Oct 2014.]

[08 Jul 2004]
In the last two weeks, avian influenza appears to have re-emerged in poultry in several countries in Asia. These outbreaks could either be new outbreaks of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza A(H5N1) virus or a continuation of the outbreaks first reported earlier in the year. These events, in addition to two new research reports -- about the virus becoming increasingly pathogenic and becoming more widespread in birds in the region -- fuel the World Health Organization's concern about the threat the virus poses to human health. See: WHO Global Alert and Response (GAR) Avian influenza - Current evaluation of risks to humans from H5N1 following recent reports. [Added 12 Oct 2014.]

Shade Tree Physics

Robert Fritzius fritzius@bellsouth.net
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